Certor

Mainz – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · March 2, 2024

Mainz 1–1 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mainz 42% X · 26% 2 · M'gladbach 32%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.66 – 1.44
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 2, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.