Certor

Mainz – RB Leipzig

Bundesliga · November 4, 2023

Mainz 2–0 RB Leipzig

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mainz 21% X · 25% 2 · RB Leipzig 54%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.07 – 1.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 3, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.