Certor

Mainz – RB Leipzig

Bundesliga · October 19, 2024

Mainz 0–2 RB Leipzig

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mainz 21% X · 26% 2 · RB Leipzig 53%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.05 – 1.79
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.