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Mainz – St Pauli

Bundesliga · February 22, 2025

Mainz 2–0 St Pauli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mainz 46% X · 35% 2 · St Pauli 19%
Over 2.5 goals28%
Both teams to score36%
Expected goals1.18 – 0.67
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 21, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.