Mainz – Union Berlin
Bundesliga · May 10, 2026
Mainz
1–3
Union Berlin
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Mainz 46%
X · 29%
2 · Union Berlin 25%
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Expected goals | 1.45 – 0.99 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
May 9, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.