Certor

Mainz – Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · February 3, 2024

Mainz 0–1 Werder Bremen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mainz 47% X · 28% 2 · Werder Bremen 25%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.63 – 1.15
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 3, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.