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Mainz – Wolfsburg

Bundesliga · January 24, 2026

Mainz 3–1 Wolfsburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mainz 40% X · 29% 2 · Wolfsburg 31%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.47 – 1.27
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 23, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.