Certor

Malaga – La Coruna

La Liga · August 24, 2026

Malaga 1–1 La Coruna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Malaga 45% X · 27% 2 · La Coruna 28%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.39 – 1.02
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 24, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.