Certor

Malaga – Sociedad

La Liga · October 18, 2026

Malaga 2–5 Sociedad

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Malaga 22% X · 28% 2 · Sociedad 50%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals0.79 – 1.35
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.