Malaga – Villarreal
La Liga · September 17, 2026
Malaga
1–3
Villarreal
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Malaga 20%
X · 27%
2 · Villarreal 53%
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Expected goals | 0.75 – 1.44 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 17, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.