Certor

Mallorca – Alaves

La Liga · September 27, 2025

Mallorca 1–0 Alaves

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mallorca 37% X · 33% 2 · Alaves 30%
Over 2.5 goals27%
Both teams to score35%
Expected goals0.97 – 0.84
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 26, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.