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Mallorca – Real Madrid

La Liga · August 18, 2024

Mallorca 1–1 Real Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mallorca 14% X · 22% 2 · Real Madrid 64%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals0.78 – 1.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 15, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.