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Mallorca – Real Madrid

La Liga · April 4, 2026

Mallorca 2–1 Real Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mallorca 14% X · 20% 2 · Real Madrid 66%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals0.85 – 2.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 3, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.