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Mallorca – Vallecano

La Liga · April 12, 2026

Mallorca 3–0 Vallecano

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Mallorca 35% X · 30% 2 · Vallecano 35%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.07 – 1.08
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.