Man City – Arsenal
Premier League · September 22, 2024
Man City
2–2
Arsenal
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man City 48%
X · 26%
2 · Arsenal 26%
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Expected goals | 1.48 – 1.01 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 21, 2024.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.