Man City – Aston Villa
Premier League · April 3, 2024
Man City
4–1
Aston Villa
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man City 69%
X · 18%
2 · Aston Villa 13%
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Expected goals | 2.26 – 0.87 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
March 30, 2024.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.