Man City – Aston Villa
Premier League · April 22, 2025
Man City
2–1
Aston Villa
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man City 64%
X · 20%
2 · Aston Villa 16%
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Expected goals | 2.18 – 1.01 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 19, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.