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Man City – Bournemouth

Premier League · November 4, 2023

Man City 6–1 Bournemouth

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man City 88% X · 8% 2 · Bournemouth 4%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score38%
Expected goals3.10 – 0.52
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 4, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.