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Man City – Brentford

Premier League · May 9, 2026

Man City 3–0 Brentford

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man City 65% X · 21% 2 · Brentford 14%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals2.19 – 0.95
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 9, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.