Man City – Brighton
Premier League · October 21, 2023
Man City
2–1
Brighton
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man City 68%
X · 18%
2 · Brighton 14%
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Expected goals | 2.24 – 0.91 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
October 21, 2023.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.