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Man City – Burnley

Premier League · January 31, 2024

Man City 3–1 Burnley

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man City 87% X · 9% 2 · Burnley 4%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals3.10 – 0.56
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 30, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.