Man City – Burnley
Premier League · September 27, 2025
Man City
5–1
Burnley
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man City 80%
X · 13%
2 · Burnley 7%
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Expected goals | 2.75 – 0.68 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 27, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.