Man City – Chelsea
Premier League · January 4, 2026
Man City
1–1
Chelsea
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man City 57%
X · 23%
2 · Chelsea 20%
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Expected goals | 1.92 – 1.04 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 3, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.