Man City – Crystal Palace
Premier League · May 13, 2026
Man City
3–0
Crystal Palace
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man City 65%
X · 22%
2 · Crystal Palace 13%
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Expected goals | 2.03 – 0.80 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
May 9, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.