Certor

Man City – Everton

Premier League · February 10, 2024

Man City 2–0 Everton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man City 78% X · 14% 2 · Everton 8%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals2.52 – 0.67
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 10, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.