Man City – Fulham
Premier League · February 11, 2026
Man City
3–0
Fulham
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man City 65%
X · 21%
2 · Fulham 14%
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Expected goals | 2.13 – 0.89 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 7, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.