Man City – Leeds
Premier League · November 29, 2025
Man City
3–2
Leeds
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man City 78%
X · 15%
2 · Leeds 7%
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Expected goals | 2.50 – 0.64 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
November 29, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.