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Man City – Luton

Premier League · April 13, 2024

Man City 5–1 Luton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man City 85% X · 10% 2 · Luton 5%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals3.25 – 0.71
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 13, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.