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Man City – Man United

Premier League · December 15, 2024

Man City 1–2 Man United

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man City 69% X · 18% 2 · Man United 13%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals2.33 – 0.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 14, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.