Man City – Man United
Premier League · September 14, 2025
Man City
3–0
Man United
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man City 63%
X · 21%
2 · Man United 16%
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Expected goals | 2.03 – 0.94 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 13, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.