Man City – Newcastle
Premier League · August 19, 2023
Man City
1–0
Newcastle
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man City 67%
X · 19%
2 · Newcastle 14%
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Expected goals | 2.10 – 0.82 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
August 18, 2023.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.