Certor

Man City – Newcastle

Premier League · February 15, 2025

Man City 4–0 Newcastle

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man City 62% X · 20% 2 · Newcastle 18%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals2.27 – 1.17
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 12, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.