Man City – Newcastle
Premier League · February 21, 2026
Man City
2–1
Newcastle
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man City 61%
X · 22%
2 · Newcastle 17%
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Expected goals | 2.10 – 1.04 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 18, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.