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Man City – Nott'm Forest

Premier League · September 23, 2023

Man City 2–0 Nott'm Forest

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man City 84% X · 11% 2 · Nott'm Forest 5%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score38%
Expected goals2.73 – 0.53
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 23, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.