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Man City – Sunderland

Premier League · December 6, 2025

Man City 3–0 Sunderland

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man City 65% X · 21% 2 · Sunderland 14%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals1.93 – 0.75
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 6, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.