Man City – Sunderland
Premier League · September 20, 2026
Man City
5–3
Sunderland
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man City 68%
X · 22%
2 · Sunderland 10%
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Expected goals | 1.96 – 0.63 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 20, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.