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Man City – West Ham

Premier League · January 4, 2025

Man City 4–1 West Ham

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man City 77% X · 15% 2 · West Ham 8%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals2.78 – 0.85
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 29, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.