Certor

Man United – Bournemouth

Premier League · December 15, 2025

Man United 4–4 Bournemouth

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man United 48% X · 24% 2 · Bournemouth 28%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.77 – 1.31
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 13, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.