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Man United – Brentford

Premier League · October 7, 2023

Man United 2–1 Brentford

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man United 52% X · 23% 2 · Brentford 25%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.73 – 1.12
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 7, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.