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Man United – Brighton

Premier League · January 19, 2025

Man United 1–3 Brighton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man United 39% X · 27% 2 · Brighton 34%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.49 – 1.37
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 14, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.