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Man United – Brighton

Premier League · October 25, 2025

Man United 4–2 Brighton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man United 37% X · 26% 2 · Brighton 37%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.44 – 1.44
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 25, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.