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Man United – Chelsea

Premier League · December 6, 2023

Man United 2–1 Chelsea

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man United 45% X · 24% 2 · Chelsea 31%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.51 – 1.22
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 2, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.