Certor

Man United – Everton

Premier League · March 9, 2024

Man United 2–0 Everton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man United 54% X · 23% 2 · Everton 23%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.71 – 1.01
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 9, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.