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Man United – Fulham

Premier League · February 1, 2026

Man United 3–2 Fulham

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man United 49% X · 26% 2 · Fulham 25%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.75 – 1.19
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 31, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.