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Man United – Luton

Premier League · November 11, 2023

Man United 1–0 Luton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man United 74% X · 16% 2 · Luton 10%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals2.28 – 0.67
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 11, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.