Man United – Man City
Premier League · January 17, 2026
Man United
2–0
Man City
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Man United 24%
X · 25%
2 · Man City 51%
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Expected goals | 1.17 – 1.79 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 17, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.