Certor

Man United – Newcastle

Premier League · May 15, 2024

Man United 3–2 Newcastle

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man United 42% X · 23% 2 · Newcastle 35%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score67%
Expected goals1.79 – 1.61
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 11, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.