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Man United – Southampton

Premier League · January 16, 2025

Man United 3–1 Southampton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man United 68% X · 20% 2 · Southampton 12%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals2.15 – 0.78
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 14, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.