Certor

Man United – Sunderland

Premier League · October 4, 2025

Man United 2–0 Sunderland

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Man United 42% X · 32% 2 · Sunderland 26%
Over 2.5 goals31%
Both teams to score38%
Expected goals1.12 – 0.81
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.