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Marseille – Brest

Ligue 1 · April 27, 2025

Marseille 4–1 Brest

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Marseille 52% X · 25% 2 · Brest 23%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.76 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 25, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.